The Iranian public's sentiment towards the ongoing war has undergone a dramatic shift, as the initial hope for a swift US and Israeli intervention to overthrow the oppressive regime has given way to disillusionment and despair. This transformation is particularly evident in the reactions of anti-regime protesters like Amir, who now feel betrayed by the very forces they once hoped would bring about change.
Amir's perspective is indicative of a broader trend among Iranians. The Israeli strikes on fuel depots in Tehran, which resulted in toxic oil covering the city, were a turning point. This incident, along with the destruction of cultural heritage sites and the killing of civilians, has led many to question the intentions of the US and Israel. The fear of Iran becoming another Iraq, where promises of freedom were followed by civil war, is now a stark reality for many.
The anti-regime movement in Iran has a long history, often sparked by political unrest, economic turmoil, or the repression of women's rights. The 2009 Green Movement and the 2022 Woman, Life, Freedom movement are notable examples. However, the current war has introduced a new layer of complexity, with the involvement of three governments instead of just one.
The Iranian regime, established in the 1979 revolution, has been marked by autocratic rule and a heavily restricted media climate. Open dissent can lead to severe consequences, including jail and death. Despite these challenges, protest movements have persisted, often fueled by political unrest or economic crises. The recent wave of protests, which began in late December, has seen security forces launch one of their deadliest crackdowns, killing thousands.
The war's impact on the Iranian people is profound. The fear of the regime's survival, the destruction of infrastructure, and the loss of civilian lives have created a sense of hopelessness. The destruction of cultural heritage sites, such as the Golestan Palace and the Chehel Sotoon Palace, raises questions about the intentions of the intervening forces. The concern that Iran might become another Iraq, where promises of freedom were followed by civil war, is a real and present danger.
The Iranian doctor who treated protesters for gunshot wounds expressed a glimmer of hope that the war might bring about real change. However, many others in the anti-regime movement are now convinced that the war is being used to justify the killing of civilians, with reports of newborn babies being killed in the strikes. This has led to a shift in perception, with many now viewing military intervention as a means to further the interests of the US and Israel, rather than a path to freedom.
The Iranian public's disillusionment with the war is a stark reminder of the complexities and challenges of international intervention. As the conflict continues, the fate of Iran and its people remains uncertain, with the potential for further suffering and division.