Why Jordan, and why now? Prime Minister Modi's recent trip to Amman, Jordan, sparks a fascinating question, especially considering King Abdullah II's recent visit to Pakistan. It's a diplomatic move that warrants a closer look, especially when we consider the bigger picture of regional dynamics.
One might wonder why Jordan takes precedence over Iraq, considering the significant trade volume between Baghdad and New Delhi, which reached approximately $37 billion last year, compared to under $3 billion with Jordan. Additionally, the Indian diaspora in Iraq, with an estimated 33,000 individuals, surpasses the 17,000 in Jordan.
But here's where it gets controversial... Jordan, under King Abdullah, stands out as a voice of moderation in a region often characterized by volatility. Bordering Israel, Jordan maintains diplomatic ties and fosters dialogue, even amidst pressure from other Arab states and the Palestinian population, who constitute about 70% of its populace. This is a delicate balancing act, and Jordan's ability to navigate these complexities is noteworthy.
Jordan's stance on the Gaza war is also significant. It has carefully avoided direct involvement while upholding its role as the custodian of Muslim holy sites in Jerusalem. This position provides King Abdullah with a unique perspective on the situation in Gaza and the West Bank, offering valuable insights for India. He can also provide his perspective on the prospects for the Trump peace plan, Hamas, Hezbollah, and other key players, providing India with useful information.
And this is the part most people miss... Peace in Gaza is crucial for the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor. Proposed in 2023 by former US President Joe Biden, this initiative hinges on the resolution of the Gaza conflict. Jordan is poised to be a critical link in this corridor, making Modi's visit all the more significant.
For Jordan, which may not attract a large number of visitors from outside the region, the Modi visit presents an opportunity to highlight historical connections. The ancient city of Petra in southern Jordan once served as a gateway for Indian goods traveling to the Levant and Egypt.
Commercially, Jordan is keen to increase its phosphate exports to India. The Ministry of External Affairs highlighted Jordan's role as a major fertilizer supplier, particularly phosphates and potash. There is a joint venture called the Jordan India Fertilizer Company, with an investment of $860 million between India's IFFCO and Jordan Phosphates Mines Company. Furthermore, fifteen Indian garment companies are operating in Jordan's industrial zones, benefiting from duty-free access to the US market, with a combined investment of $500 million. These companies produce for a variety of global brands.
What do you think? Does this visit signal a strategic shift in India's foreign policy? Are there other factors at play that we haven't considered? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
